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Forum: Segnalazioni

24 aprile 2003

Can we trust the intelligence services?

The accusation by the chief United Nations weapons inspector Hans Blix that the case against Iraq was "shaky" raises the question as to whether the US and British intelligence services can be trusted over one of the major issues of our day - the spread of weapons of mass destruction.
Autore: Mauro Barinci
Fonte: Paul Reynolds, corrispondente di politica internazionale per BBC News Online - 24.04.2003 - BBC News

Both the United States and UK issued dossiers last autumn making a series of accusations against Iraq.

Not only have no mass weapons systems been found (one has to add a "yet" here), but there were major flaws in the documents which will put in doubt any assessment of programmes elsewhere - in North Korea, Iran and Syria, for example.

Although many intelligence professionals prefer to keep any review of what went wrong (and right) private and in-house, some professionals are speaking out.

One of the fiercest critics is Alex Standish, editor of Jane's Intelligence Digest.

He said: "The bottom line is that the intelligence services have not covered themselves with glory."

Where are the weapons?

Dr Blix mentioned technical flaws in the dossiers, especially a failure (in this case it was a failure by the British) to realise that documents alleging an Iraqi attempt to buy uranium from Niger were forgeries.

There has been a dereliction of duty

Alex Standish
Jane's Intelligence Digest

There has also been the non-appearance of 1.4 tons of VX nerve agent, 20,000 chemical capable artillery shells, 25,000 litres of anthrax, 12-20 Scud missiles, mobile biological warfare laboratories and chemical and biological weapons "deployable within 45 minutes", all of which Iraq was alleged to have had.

And perhaps more fundamentally there are allegations that the impetus for publishing the dossiers and interpreting the evidence in the most prejudicial way possible was not intelligence-led but political.

Mr Standish said the charges against Iraq were "politically driven."

"There were three planks in the argument," he said. "The first was to find links between Iraq and 11 September and when that failed, between Iraq and al-Qaeda.

"The second was to find weapons of mass destruction and the third was the human rights issue.

"Only the third plank remains and the details of those human rights abuses were well-known and cobbled together in a document which was a cut-and-paste job from other publications."

He concluded: "There has been a dereliction of duty."

He was especially critical of the uranium claim which appeared in the UK's dossier.

"The documents making the uranium link were faxes allegedly between Iraq and Niger," he said. "They should have been analysed more carefully.

"The result was they relied on documents which were fakes. If you put your heads above the parapet as they did and it all blows up in your face, then the situation is very serious."

What next?

There have been calls for an inquiry by the parliamentary body responsible for oversight of British intelligence, the Intelligence and Security Committee. This is a cross-party committee of nine members of parliament selected by the prime minister. No decision about any review has been taken.

The problem for the US and British services now is one of credibility.

Even if weapons systems are found in the extensive searches now going on, the weaknesses already revealed will reflect badly on the next assessments.

Already other analyses are being made. North Korea has an active nuclear power programme but the key question is whether it is trying to make nuclear weapons.

Unlike North Korea, Iran is working with the International Atomic Energy Agency which has some questions which have to be answered. But at some stage the US might want to make its own assessment.

Syria is already accused by Washington of having a chemical weapons programme. But will American accusations be believed now?

The history of intelligence is littered with false information as well as with triumphs.

The difficulty is often in telling which is which.

Dal sito

  • Disarmo
    Riceviamo e diffondiamo il comunicato stampa di Abbasso La Guerra

    Aviano e le bombe: iniziative giuridiche e impegno sociale

    Associazioni e singoli stanno chiedendo alle procure di Brescia e di Pordenone trasparenza sulla presenza di ordigni nucleari presso le basi di Ghedi e Aviano. L'8 dicembre a Pordenone un convegno con tecnici, scienziati, giuristi e attivisti aperto a tutta la cittadinanza
    2 dicembre 2025 - Maria Pastore
  • Ecologia
    ANSA/Economia

    Associazioni, a Taranto il 29 novembre manifestazione anti-Ilva

    'No a salvataggio della fabbrica, sì a riconversione territorio'
    29 novembre 2025 - Redazione PeaceLink
  • Cultura
    Un documentario di Sepideh Farsi

    Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk, insieme a Fatma

    Un dialogo destinato ad interrompersi tra una giovane palestinese e una regista iraniana, semplice e toccante come la passione di Fatma Hassona per la fotografia (nelle sale dal 27 novembre)
    28 novembre 2025 - Lidia Giannotti
  • Latina

    Le grinfie degli Stati Uniti in Honduras

    Una lunga storia di ingerenze e manipolazioni
    20 novembre 2025 - Giorgio Trucchi
  • Latina
    In Ecuador netta sconfitta di Noboa nel referendum che voleva spazzar via la Costituzione correista

    L’Ecuador rifiuta Noboa, ma il Cile strizza l’occhio a Kast

    Nelle presidenziali cilene, la candidata del Partito Comunista Jeanette Jara in lieve vantaggio sul filopinochettista José Antonio Kast al primo turno, ma al ballottaggio del 14 dicembre è assai probabile un’alleanza tra le destre conservatrici ed estreme che lo potrebbe portare alla Moneda
    19 novembre 2025 - David Lifodi
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